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cold to relax a little

1. Over the weekend the region ended up seeing more of a northerly flow off the great lakes which allowed for some light snow showers to continue into Saturday the total for the clipper and these snow...

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Bowling Green Finally rises above freezing

Yesterday thanks to a surge of warm air advection Bowling Green the temperature at Bowling Green finally went above freezing this month not counting the first few hours of the New Year. Temperatures...

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wet weekend for the region

1. Friday will see a weak cold front pass through with some low clouds and patchy drizzle this will be followed by some sun later with highs in the mid 50’s. 2. The main action arrives as low pressure...

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forecast for the next week

I will be unable to post updates from wed-mon so i have posted a seven day forecast.  The one change in forecasting strategy I have made is to go a few degrees higher than the raw gfs which was to cool...

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winter storm threat late week

a quick post to start the spring term. Right now the modeling suggests a winter storm will impact the region starting Thursday night and lasting into Saturday. An arctic front will move through the...

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Winter Storm Watch Issued

The NWS has issued a winter storm watch for the region. Periods of snow are likely from Friday morning into early Saturday with still a large spread in model data. Right now it appears between 3 and 7...

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Winter Storm Update: Models Diverging not Converging

qpf= amount of water that will fall I have looked at the US 00z models which come in during the evening so this analysis includes the 00z Nam and gfs, Wednesday’s 12z Canadian, euro and several other...

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Risk for 8-12″ of snow increasing; where is the question

Recent model trends of both the GFS (6z and 12z) and NAM 12z suggest that a band of 8-12″ of snow is increasingly likely for some portion of the Mid-South Friday into Saturday. (more…)

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snowstorm to be delayed slightly

Don’t worry it’s still coming.  For those of you wanting to leave school or even WKU early for the snow will be disappointed as all of the model data now does not start the snow till mid or late...

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snowfall to start around 2 pm

Temperatures now are in the mid 20′s across the region which means when the  snow starts it will stick to most everything. If you’re looking at the radar puzzled this morning it’s because of virga,...

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snowstorm in progress now

- WKU has cancelled classes through Saturday due to weather. Right now light snow has spread into south central Kentucky. Moderate snowfall with bursts of hvy snow is moving across western Tennessee...

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updated forecast

snow ratios- using the avg mesonet qpf of .15 and snowfall reports of 2-3 inches earlier and looking at the composition of the snow a 15:1 ratio seems reasonable with temps in the 20′s. banding- snow...

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dry slot takes away second band and higher end totals

Storm totals were from 5-7 inches across our region. This was slightly less than my going forecast of about 8 inches with the potential for locally more perhaps even over a foot. This was due to a dry...

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Early-week storm heating up…literally

The belief over the past week is that the major storm that will move through the Mid-South early next week would be a significant snow-maker for everyone in Kentucky.  But recent model outputs express...

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Bowling Green will see snow tonight, but how much?

Recent model runs are predicting better snowfall totals than previously expected for south central Kentucky with tonight’s impending winter storm. (more…)

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Snowiest winter in Bowling Green since 1985

The storm that brought several inches of snow to KY on February 8-9 ended up bringing a total of 5.1″ of snow to Bowling Green. Here is the breakdown of the storm… Monday, February 8th, 7:30 pm – 12:00...

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A break in the action, for now

It’s been an interesting couple of days as far as winter weather goes here in south central Kentucky, but it appears we’ll be getting a break from the snow for a few days. (more…)

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Manitoba Mauler on track for Sunday/Monday

The latest model runs of the GFS, CMC, and ECMWF all show a Manitoba Mauler (the mean, nasty cousin of the Alberta Clipper) poised to bring more snow to the Mid-South late this weekend. Both the CMC...

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More snow on Sunday

It appears we will see yet another decent snowstorm on Sunday and into Monday over the Mid-South, as expected. (more…)

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Snow in all lower 48 states

This map of snow cover from this morning shows snow cover in all lower 48 states. This is a very rare event that has not happened in recent memory. Scientists at the Rutgers Global Snow Lab are...

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